Business

Model confidence and calibration

• Model Confidence Score vs. Your Own Classifier
• Setting a Confidence Threshold from a Calibration Curve
• Why a Model's 0.8 Is Not 80 Percent Right
• A Confidence Score the Agent Can Act On
• A Drift Check for a Confidence Gate Without New Labels
• A Job Aid for the Operator in the Middle Band
• A Moving Threshold: Recalibrating When Input Distribution Shifts
• How to Set a Confidence Threshold for an Agent's Tool Calls
• How to Tell Whether a Score Is Calibrated Enough to Act On
• Re-Checking Calibration After a Model Swap or Prompt Change
• Setting a Cost-Weighted Threshold When Errors Differ in Price
• Testing a Model's Confidence Against the Read-Ahead Sample
• The Handoff Band: Turning a Calibration Curve into Two Cutoffs
• Using the Calibration Curve to Pick a Handoff Band
• What to Log So You Can Rebuild a Calibration Curve Later
• When the Classifier and the Model Disagree: A Triage Rule
• When Two Score Bands Overlap: Choosing the Cutoff